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Michael A. Rawlins
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The Northeast US is home to over 55 million people. Changes connected to a warming climate include increases in precipitation, more extreme heat events, and rising sea levels. Our understanding of potential changes in air temperature and precipitation across the region and at sub-annual time scales has been advanced with the development and application of high resolution Regional Climate Models (RCMs). Projections of mid-century changes in seasonal air temperature and precipitation from a suite of RCMs forced with the SRES A2 scenario for greenhouse gas emissions suggest warming of 2-4C and very likely wetter winters. Rawlins, M. A., R. S. Bradley, H. F. Diaz, 2012: Assessment of regional climate model simulation estimates over the northeast United States, Journal of Geophysical Research, 117, D23112, doi:10.1029/2012JD018137 Tebaldi, C., J. M. Arblaster, and R. Knutti, 2011:, Mapping model agreement on future climate projections, Geophys. Res. Lett., 38 L23701, \doi{10.1029/2011GL049863}. |
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